How Precip works

Measure what fell. Predict what's next.

Most weather apps pass along a coarse forecast and never check if it was right. Precip measures what actually hits the ground at 1 km resolution, then uses that ground truth to build a more accurate forecast.

Observe Radar See the storm in motion
Predict the Storm Forecast path and intensity
Measure What Fell Record calibrated observations

Better observations

Start with what actually hit the ground

Instead of treating yesterday's forecast as history, Precip combines high-resolution Doppler radar with quality-controlled rain gauges to measure what really fell, then continually refines the record as more stations report.

Accumulated precipitation for the same time period as estimated by ERA5-Land (left) and Precip (right).

Minute-by-minute predictions

Better inputs make a better nowcast

Precip's in-house nowcast starts from a live 1 km picture of the storm, then projects where rain will move in 5-minute steps over the next hour so you don't get caught in a downpour.

1 kmspatial resolution
5 minforecast steps
60 minforecast horizon
See how it scores against Apple, Google, and others

Nowcast benchmarks

Gauges on the ground prove it's the best

We tested the top nowcasts (short-term minute-by-minute forecasts) against independent rain gauges and NOAA radar across the US. Precip comes out on top.

92% more accurate than Google Weather for medium to heavy rain
121% more accurate than Apple Weather for medium to heavy rain
37/38 head-to-head tests won against Google, Apple, Tomorrow.io and Rainbow.ai
Accuracy for the next hour

Better than the weather app that came with your phone.

Next-hour forecasts checked against 110 research-grade U.S. Climate Reference Network rain gauges.

Any rain

  • Precip .549
  • Google Weather .478
  • Apple Weather .388

Medium to heavy rain, over 0.31 in (8 mm)

  • Precip .309
  • Google Weather .161
  • Apple Weather .140
Accuracy score (critical success index) · 49,991 station-hours · Aug 31, 2026 – Oct 12, 2026
Accuracy by lead time

Ahead of the weather industry at every minute of the hour.

Whether it will rain in each 5 minutes of the next hour, checked against NOAA radar at the gauge sites.

Precip vs Google Weather and Apple Weather

.3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 10 min 20 min 30 min 40 min 50 min 60 min Precip Google Weather Apple Weather
  • Precip .827 → .606
  • Google Weather .564 → .515
  • Apple Weather .574 → .390

Precip vs Tomorrow.io and Rainbow.ai

.3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 10 min 20 min 30 min 40 min 50 min 60 min Precip Tomorrow.io Rainbow.ai
  • Precip .843 → .609
  • Tomorrow.io .601 → .491
  • Rainbow.ai .732 → .580
Accuracy score (critical success index) for any rain, 5 to 60 minutes ahead · Aug 31, 2026 – Oct 12, 2026 and Sep 28, 2026 – Oct 12, 2026
Real-world results

Apple cries wolf. Google lets you get drenched.

What happens when you rely on the weather app that came with your phone.

False alarms Rain was called, none came

  • Apple Weather 3,841
  • Precip 1,154
  • Google Weather 625

Apple Weather had false alarms more than three times as often as Precip.

Missed rain Rain came with no warning

  • Google Weather 1,235
  • Precip 692
  • Apple Weather 307

Google Weather missed 78% more rain events than Precip.

A rain event is an hour with measurable rain at the gauge · 49,991 station-hours · Aug 31, 2026 – Oct 12, 2026

See the full live nowcast benchmark against Apple Weather, Google Weather, Tomorrow.io, and Rainbow.ai

Third-party names are trademarks of their respective owners.

How the measured record is built

Why Precip has the best historical precipitation data

Radar and rain gauges

We combine live scans from 180+ Doppler radar stations with thousands of quality-controlled rain gauges on the ground.

Corrected for terrain and wind

Radar beams overshoot low clouds, get blocked by mountains, and drift in the wind. Our models correct for terrain, beam height, and temperature to measure what actually reached the ground.

Refined as gauges report

Radar gives you an answer in minutes. Over the hours and days that follow, we fold in reporting rain gauges to continually sharpen the record.

Coverage and resolution

We dial up the resolution

Most weather models run on coarse 5 to 10 km grids. Precip measures rain and runs its nowcast at 1 km resolution with 5-minute updates, and sharpens its 10-day forecast to a 2.5 km terrain grid across the U.S.

In the U.S., each 1 km grid cell covers roughly half a square mile (about 160 acres). In Canada, each 2.5 km cell covers about 1 square mile (250 hectares).

See full data availability & specifications
1 km United States

Live rate, nowcast, and measured precipitation

2.5 km United States & Canada

U.S. 10-day forecast and Canada measured precipitation

Historical precipitation benchmark

Why observations beat forecasts

Many weather apps show yesterday's forecast and call it history, without ever checking if it actually rained. Precip measures what fell using Doppler radar and ground gauges.

60% more accurate than a NOAA HRRR forecast
275% better rainfall detection (Critical Success Index)

No rainfall estimate is perfect, and even physical rain gauges can undercatch in high wind by 2% to 10%. Read why measuring rain with gauges is hard.

The charts below come from our benchmarking study comparing Precip against the NOAA High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) forecast at Integrated Surface Database (ISD) rain gauges across the U.S.

Rainfall Mean Absolute Error benchmark
Mean Absolute Error MAE measures the average magnitude of errors in a set of estimates.
Rainfall Critical Success Index benchmark
Critical Success Index CSI measures correct events against the total of correct events, false alarms, and misses.

Data provenance

Third-party data sources

Precip combines our own models and post-processing with observations and forecast guidance from the world's leading weather centers.

See how Precip's 10-day forecast scores against ECMWF and Google
  • NOAA Doppler radar, surface gauges, HRRR, and URMA analysis
  • ECMWF Global ensemble and high-resolution forecast guidance
  • Google DeepMind WeatherNext 3 global AI ensemble forecast
  • Open-Meteo Global multi-model forecast distribution
  • Rainbow AI Global nowcast coverage outside Precip's radar domain

See every storm

Put precision precipitation in your pocket.

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The precision weather app Know when rain starts and stops.